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“We have a very high potential for another storm to come through the area,” said Jeb Lacey, the Victoria County emergency management coordinator. “It’s projected to be a very busy October.”
So far, 10 tropical storms or hurricanes have formed this season, which runs through Nov. 30. Forecasters have predicted the season could bring up to 18 named storms.
Six storms blasted the United States from late July to mid-September, causing billions of dollars in damage.
Three of those storms struck Texas.
Hurricane Ike and Tropical Storm Edouard made landfall on the Upper Texas Coast, while Hurricane Dolly struck the Lower Texas Coast.
Scott Cordero, the chief meteorologist at the National Weather Service office in Corpus Christi, said reviewing the 2004, 2005 and 2008 storm tracks makes him wary.
“The entire gulf is covered, except one blank spot,” he said. “That’s right here in the Coastal Bend.”
The weather is changing to a fall pattern, Cordero said. That typically steers hurricanes on a more northerly course and away from Texas.
But the state is not out of the woods just yet.
History shows Texas is vulnerable to tropical storm or hurricane landfall from June to November. Dating back to 1851, the Texas Coast was hit during each of the stormy season’s six months, including October and November.
Still in place are the warm sea temperatures, low wind shear and other factors that contribute to the formation of hurricanes.
Water in the Caribbean Sea and Atlantic Ocean is up to 2.7 degrees warmer than normal. Warm water helps fuel a storm after it forms.
“I just hope we continue to go on this blessed path of nothing occurring,” Cordero said.
Only 12 hurricanes have made landfall over the Lower and Middle Texas Coasts as major hurricanes.