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DISTRICT 30-4A: Playoff scenarios for boys teams

By jhornberg
Feb. 7, 2012 at 3:04 a.m.
Updated Feb. 6, 2012 at 8:07 p.m.


The isn't much drama in District 30-4A when it comes to playoffs. The top three are in and the fourth team can lock up a spot Tuesday.

Seeding, though, is another matter. Victoria East and West are locked in a battle with Calhoun for the top three spots, and all three can potentially win the district if they play their cards correctly.

Clarity will come after Tuesday's games. Calhoun controls whether it wins the district; all it needs to do is win.

East and West's scenario is equally easy: They need Calhoun to stumble, with East needing a win over the Sandcrabs to force a tie for the district lead. A Calhoun loss to East would force a tie: with West if the Warriors beat East on Tuesday, or with East if the Titans beat the Warriors.

Despite near insurmountable odds, neither Gregory-Portland nor Beeville have been eliminated from the playoff picture.

By virtue of their win over Floresville, the Wildcats can make the playoffs with two wins including one over the Tigers later this week, and two losses by Floresville.



CALHOUN

• RECORD: 6-1 district

• REMAINING GAMES: Floresville, East, Gregory-Portland

• KEY WINS: at East, at West, Floresville

• KEY LOSSES: West

The Sandcrabs are sitting pretty in the top spot. They controls their own destiny down the stretch: A loss opens the door for either Victoria school to challenge them for the top spot, especially West if they win out. East's loss to Floresville last week was a gift. But right now, Calhoun is in the driver's seat.



VICTORIA EAST

• RECORD: 5-2 district

• REMAINING GAMES: Victoria West, at Calhoun, Beeville

• KEY WINS: at West, Floresville

• KEY LOSSES: Calhoun, at Floresville

The Titans are in, but a loss at Floresville in OT last Friday is cause for concern. Floresville has played the Titans tight twice; it's important to note the Tigers have lost to G-P and been trounced by West and Calhoun. East needs to hold off West to stay in second on Tuesday, and beat Calhoun to have a shot at the top.



VICTORIA WEST

• RECORD: 5-2 district

• REMAINING GAMES: at East, Gregory-Portland, at Beeville

• KEY WINS: at Calhoun, Floresville (twice)

• KEY LOSSES: East, Calhoun

The Warriors have been up and down offensively throughout the district season. With Nic Bufford sidelined, Drew Erskine has single-handedly has kept West in games. But the West will need more from everyone else if it wants to make a deep playoff run. Tuesday's game at East will have a major effect on whether West has a shot at the district title or the second seed.



FLORESVILLE

• RECORD: 3-4 district

• REMAINING GAMES: at Calhoun, at Gregory-Portland, Victoria West

• KEY WINS: East

• KEY LOSSES: G-P, at East

Floresville is playoff bound barring something catastrophic, but they haven't been in the district's top tier. A big win over East at home was offset by a loss to Gregory-Portland. The Tigers are not eliminated from a chance at the top spot, but they would need Calhoun to lose out and for them to win out to even have a chance



GREGORY-PORTLAND

• RECORD: 1-6 district

• REMAINING GAMES: at Beeville, Floresville, West

• KEY WINS: Floresville

The Wildcats have had a rough go of it this season, but have a fair chance at the fourth spot. They need Floresville to go 0-3 in the final three games and get a win over the Tigers on Friday. Winning out and having Floresville go 1-2 in the remaining games will have the same effect. Considering they have Beeville and a Floresville team they've already beaten left, it's not altogether impossible for them to make it, but West will be a problem. It certainly helps the Wildcats that Floresville also has Calhoun and West left on the schedule.



BEEVILLE

• RECORD: 1-6 district

• REMAINING GAMES: Gregory-Portland, Victoria East, Victoria West

• KEY WINS: Gregory-Portland

Without the benefit of a win over a playoff-caliber team, the Trojans are likely done. There is a ray of light, however faint, for them; they need two wins, including one over G-P, and for Floresville to lose out to get the final spot. This is the only scenario by which Beeville can make the playoffs, and it's a highly unlikely one. With East and West left, though, they can certainly play seeding spoiler, though.

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