The French don't understand how the euro works
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The French government just doesn't seem to understand the real implications of the euro, the single currency that France shares with 16 other European Union countries.
French officials have now reacted to the prospect of a credit rating downgrade by lashing out at Britain. The head of the central bank, Christian Noyer, has argued that the rating agencies should begin by downgrading Britain. The finance minister, Francois Baroin, recently declared that, "You'd rather be French than British in economic terms." And even the French Prime Minister, Francois Fillar, noted that Britain had higher debt and larger deficits than France.
French officials apparently don't recognize the importance of the fact that Britain is outside the eurozone, and therefore has its own currency, which means that there is no risk that Britain will default on its debt. When interest and principal on British government debt come due, the British government can always create additional pounds to meet those obligations. By contrast, the French government and the French central bank cannot create euros.
If investors are unwilling to finance the French budget deficit - that is, if France cannot borrow to finance that deficit - France will be forced to default. That is why the market treats French bonds as riskier and demands a higher interest rate, even though France's budget deficit is 5.8 percent of its GDP, whereas Britain's budget deficit is 8.8 percent of GDP.
There is a second reason why the British situation is less risky than that of France. Britain can reduce its current-account deficit by causing the British pound to weaken relative to the dollar and the euro, which the French, again, cannot do without their own currency. Indeed, that is precisely what Britain has been doing with its monetary policy: bringing the sterling-euro and sterling-dollar exchange rates down to more competitive levels.
The eurozone fiscal deficits and current-account deficits are now the most obvious symptoms of the euro's failure. But the credit crisis in Europe, and the weakness of eurozone banks, may be even more important.
The persistent unemployment differentials within the eurozone are yet another reflection of the adverse effect of imposing a single currency and a single monetary policy on a heterogeneous group of countries.
President Nicolas Sarkozy and other French politicians are no doubt unhappy that the recent European summit failed to advance the cause of further EU political integration. It was French officials Jean Monnet and Robert Schuman who launched the initiative for European political union just after World War II with the call for a United States of Europe.
The French regarded the creation of the euro as an important symbol of progress toward that goal.
In the 1960s, Jacques Delors, then the French finance minister, pressed for a single currency with a report, "One Market, One Money," which implied that the European free-trade agreement would work only if its members used a single currency.
For the French, achieving a European political union is a way to increase Europe's role in the world and France's role within Europe.
But that goal looks harder to reach now than it did before the beginning of the European crisis. By attacking Britain and seeking to increase British borrowing costs, France is only creating more conflict between itself and Britain, while creating more tensions within Europe as a whole.
Looking ahead, stopping the eurozone financial crisis does not require political union or a commitment of German financial support.
It depends on individual eurozone countries - especially Italy, Spain and France - making the changes in their domestic spending and taxation that will convince global financial investors that they are moving toward budget surpluses and putting their debt-to-GDP ratios on a downward path.
France should focus its attention on its domestic fiscal problems and the dire situation of its commercial banks, rather than lashing out at Britain or calling for political changes that are not going to occur.
Martin Feldstein, professor of economics at Harvard, was chairman of President Ronald Reagan's Council of Economic Advisers and is former president of the National Bureau for Economic Research.
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This just underlines the wisdom of the decision by Great Britain to hold on to the Pound Sterling and not join the Euro bloc. The day of reckoning for the Socialists and their cradle-to-grave, government-administered care via "managed" economies is rapidly approaching. Like governments everywhere, the Socialist governments of France, Greece, Spain, et.al could not manage their way out of a wet paper sack. I find that it falls somewhere between amusing and hilarious.
January 3, 2012 at 12:35 p.m.Huh?
January 3, 2012 at 9:50 a.m."Because there are not enough new people being born."
Ah yes, that must be it.
January 3, 2012 at 9:35 a.m.The real reason for the financial crisis is a lack of jobs for people to work at and make money. Why is there a lack of jobs? Because there are not enough new people being born. Therefore there is no demand for baby shoes, video games, new cars and new homes to mention just a sample. But why are there not enough new people? Ahah! There in lies the answer to the financial crisis. Three billion birth control pills are sold each day plus a world wide daily abortion rate that staggers the imagination. Most countries in Europe have a birth rate that is not even near replacement rate much less any growth. I could go on and on but that is the basic fact. wpt
January 3, 2012 at 8:36 a.m.