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I don't doubt that a wildcard could slip in during a brokered convention, but Paul's supporters have become pretty astute at becoming delegates, so I think a brokered convention only increases his chances (far from a certainty). Just another potential wrinkle in the process.
BS Spotter.A brokered convention in the Republican Party would most likely produce someone like Sarah Palin or Jeb Bush.
Despite my comments, I don't want to think that far ahead. (Although, a Paul-Johnson ticket doesn't sound too bad despite Johnson's softness on some issues.) Paul is polling around 12% nationally (www.goo.gl/h9byv), and all it'll take for a healthy uptick is for some of the dead weight to fall away and for the unethical behaviors of others to be further exposed as they always are. He has a legitimate chance to make waves within the GOP. There's potential for Paul to force a brokered convention, in which case his motivated support at that level could push him over the top. His supporters got a great education in becoming delegates in 2008.
However it unfolds, we know he'll stick to his guns and won't endorse someone who runs counter to his principles. If he needs to scuttle the GOP to get his message out to a broader audience on a stage where a real debate can occur, I'll support him fully. The enemy isn't Obama or any single man; The whole system is broken & corrupt!!
Governor Gary Johnson, it seems, will quit the GOP Primary and run as a Libertarian. If Ron Paul is smart and continue on his race despite getting the GOP nod, He should get the Libertrain nod with Gary Johnson as his running mate.
"First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win." — Mohandas Gandhi