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You do realize it is not that great of predictor in the REPUBLICAN side? Not to worry, if Paul loses Iowa there will be never ending conspiracy theories...even though an initial count is done at precinct before undisclosed location where campaigns can be as well....but the Paulbots., like their candidate, suffers from paranoia. Hey, if Paul loses, maybe he will endorse a candidate like in 2008. The confederate loving Chuck Baldwin? Socialist loving Ralph Nader? What about Cynthia McKinney? They may not be running, but apparently they fit who Ron Paul looks for as president (at least in 2008). Can imagine the workplace in Paul administration...where sexual harassment can reign free!