A disturbance approaching northeast Gulf of Mexico has a 50% chance of developing into a tropical storm within the next five days, according to the National Hurricane Center.
The hurricane center raised the odds to 50% Sunday afternoon. It began monitoring the low-pressure system Saturday, when it initially forecast the disturbance had a 20 % chance of becoming a tropical system over the next five days.
The National Hurricane Center expects the system to push into the northeastern Gulf of Mexico by midweek. A tropical depression could form late in the week while the low meanders near the northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast through Friday.
The system is expected to slowly shift westward across the northern Gulf of Mexico through the end of the week but remain north of South Texas.
Regardless of its track or development, swells and the rip current risk along the Middle Texas Coast could increase later in the week as a result of the pressure system.